10/11/2005

Interest rates remain unchanged

The Bank of England has left interest rates unchanged at 4.5% for the third month in a row.

The decision, made by the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), had been expected, due to the recent rise in inflation. Inflation is forecast to remain above the 2% target for a while, mainly due to rising oil prices.

However, retailers had been hoping for a cut in rates before the Christmas trading period, in order to boost flagging retail sales.

The MPC lowered interest rates from 4.75% to 4.5% in August – the first cut in two years.

David Frost, Director General of the British Chambers of Commerce, also said that the decision to leave the rates on hold was disappointing. He said: "The financial markets have expected today's MPC decision to leave interest rates unchanged at 4.5%. But British business is disappointed that the MPC felt unable to act more boldly to counter the worsening economic circumstances and the sharp slowdown in the pace of economic activity.

“While we appreciate that the MPC faces serious uncertainties, waiting too long before taking corrective action also entails major risks. The economic situation has worsened considerably, and business confidence is weak. It is therefore critically important that the MPC should maintain a flexible approach, and should stand ready to counter the sharp slowdown in the pace of economic activity.”

However, recent figures have indicated that house prices have stabilised in recent months.

Analysts’ opinions have been divided on the Bank’s next move on interest rates. Many believe that interest rates will remain on hold until the New Year, but opinions are split on whether the MPC will increase rates or introduce another cut.

This month’s announcement coincides with the Bank’s key quarterly inflation report, due to be published next week.

(KMcA/SP)

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