05/10/2005

Interest rates likely to stay unchanged

The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is widely expected to leave the interest rate at 4.5% this month.

High Street sales are flagging as consumers struggle with rising fuel costs and many are increasingly worried about debt burdens.

A recent CBI report revealed that retail sales had fallen dramatically as customers kept their money in their pockets. Sales volumes dipped at the highest rate in over 20 years last month.

Several High Street multiples have issued renewed profit warnings, but all will be looking towards improving seasonal trading later in the year.

However, the housing sector, which has been sluggish recently, is beginning to show some signs of renewed movement with lenders reporting that mortgage approvals are up slightly - analysts believe this could be an indication that the retail sector may follow suit.

The major concern remains the spiralling cost of energy both to domestic consumers and businesses that is in turn feeding through into inflationary pressures. This increasing pressure is likely to hold back the MPC from cutting interest rates at least in the short-term.

(SP/KMcA)

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