05/08/2004

Interest rates rise to 4.75%

Interest rates are to rise by a quarter percentage point to 4.75%, the Bank of England has announced today.

The last time the interest rates rose was June, when the MPC upped the rate by 0.25 percentage points to 4.5%.

The Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) said that today's move was necessary to keep inflation on track.

Whilst inflation had reached 1.6% in June, and was likely to fall back in the near term, underlying cost pressures have risen.

With demand already high relative to the supply capacity of the economy, continued strong growth is likely to lead to rising inflationary pressures, the MPs said. The committee decided that an increase was necessary to keep inflation on track to meet the 2% target in the medium term.

The MPC also said that output growth had been "robust" and business surveys point to continued expansion.

"Although the housing market remained buoyant, there are now signs that it is starting to ease, and the growth of consumption may be moderating. Investment and public sector consumption have both grown strongly and demand in UK export markets continues to pick up," the committee said.

The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) welcomed the MPC's "steady strategy of gradual, well-signalled rises" as it reduced the risk of collateral damage to exporters and avoided "unnecessary shocks".

CBI Chief Economic Adviser Ian McCafferty said: "The UK economy is running at close to full capacity, with five consecutive quarters of strong growth. This means that rates are likely to have to rise further in coming months to reach a neutral interest rate of around 5%."

He added: "The continuation of the MPC's steady approach provides the economic stability that firms need and is the best way to ensure that interest rates peak at the lowest possible level."

The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) warned the MPC to resist the clamour for rapid rate rises designed to bring the housing market under control.

David Frost, Director General of the BCC, said: "Interest rate overkill would have damaging consequences for the rest of the economy, especially the manufacturing sector. We urge the Bank to take the concerns of UK business fully into account in its future deliberations."

(gmcg)

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