14/10/2003

Rate of inflation falls to 2.8%

The rate of inflation has dipped to 2.8% by September – in line with government expectations – according to the Office of National Statistics.

The largest downward effect on the inflation rate, which was down from 2.9% in August, came from clothing and footwear, particularly women's wear, where price rises associated with the introduction of the new season's stock were less than last year.

Another downward influence came from a specific index for airfares, and the associated seasonal decrease in fares, being included for the first time this year. A small downward effect came from leisure services, with the cost of foreign holidays falling in contrast with rises a year ago. Other downward effects came from changes in the prices of domestic heating oil, fees and subscriptions, and tobacco.

The main upward influence came from seasonal food, particularly fresh vegetables, where prices rose by more than a year ago following adverse hot and dry growing conditions. In addition, non-seasonal food contributed a small upward effect.

According to the internationally comparable measure of inflation – the HICP – the UK inflation rate has been among the lowest in the EU since the start of 2000. In September the 12-month change in the UK HICP was 1.4%, unchanged from August. The EU 15 average inflation rate for August, the latest available, was 2% up from 1.8% in the previous month.

(gmcg)

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