12/08/2009

Unemployment Set For 2.5m

A grim statistic is being predicted for the dole queue.

Britain's jobless total is likely reach a 15-year high of around 2.5 million when new figures are released later today.

Despite recent signs the recession may have passed its worst phase, the unemployment rate traditionally lags behind - and there are signs of more misery on the horizon.

The three months to May saw UK unemployment rise by 281,000 to 2.38 million and experts are braced for figures to show a similar scale of increase in the quarter to June.

It is also being predicted that dole queues will stretch past the three million mark next year.

But an even gloomier forecast from the Centre for Economics and Business Research says there could be as many as four million out of work.

And as more university graduates and school leavers are set to enter the job market, the situation is set to grow even bleaker.

"Youth unemployment is a growing and a very real concern," IHS Global Insight Economist Howard Archer told the BBC last night.

"Unemployment still looks highly likely to rise above three million in 2010 and we suspect it could eventually peak around 3.2 million."

He warned: "Even if the economy does return to growth in the third quarter, activity is still unlikely to be strong enough for some considerable time to come to prevent further net job losses.

"In fact, we suspect that unemployment will rise for the rest of this year and much, if not all, of 2010."

(BMcC/KMcA)

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