25/09/2001

Oil prices plummet as confidence returns

The price of crude oil has plummeted following growing confidence that supplies from the Middle East are unlikely to be affected by the current political situation.

Analysts’ speculation that the recent US terror attacks could see a surge in the price of oil proved unfounded, as Monday’s price collapse saw Brent crude futures falling to $21.70 - a drop of $3.7 - in a downwards move reminiscent of market prices last seen during the resolution of the Gulf crisis in 1991.

In the hours following the US attacks, oil prices rose dramatically, translating into higher prices at petrol pumps through the US and Europe. However, such increases were based on momentary reactions to the situation, and when it became apparent that America was considering strategically planned attacks against narrowly specified targets, confidence in the market returned.

Demand for oil has also dropped, thanks to the gradual decrease of industrial growth. The airline sector has also cut back its services, leading to lessened demand for jet fuel.

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) is expected to meet on Wednesday, where it is thought it will reaffirm its commitment to maintaining steady production levels, in order to avoid criticism of profiting from current tensions between the West and the Middle East.

However, some analysts predict that oil prices could drop even further than the present range, with estimates being voiced that prices could level out at $18 for Brent oil and $20 for US crude. (CL)

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