22/10/2001

Shoppers credited with UK economic resilience

The latest quarterly report by the Ernst & Young Item Club indicates that the UK should be able to avoid falling into recession despite the slowdown affecting other countries around the world.

The report, which uses the Treasury's model for growth, predicted growth of 2.2 per cent this year, dropping back to 2 per cent in 2002, before accelerating to 2.9 per cent in 2003.

The Item Club report credited UK consumers for the current strength of the country's economy, but warned that spending would begin to slow following the recent wave of job cuts.

However, Monday's report warned that the UK housing market, among others, would begin to weaken because of corporate cutbacks, although the economy would remain far from a collapse. (MB)

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